Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
