Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
