SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leeds United |
28.35% ( -0.05) | 26.24% ( 0.07) | 45.4% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.3) | 53.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( -0.25) | 74.96% ( 0.25) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.2) | 33.71% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( -0.21) | 70.37% ( 0.21) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.14) | 23.47% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( -0.2) | 57.48% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.4% |
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