SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
48.05% ( 0.42) | 25.09% ( 0.15) | 26.85% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -1.03) | 49.7% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0.93) | 71.72% ( 0.93) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.24) | 20.71% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( -0.38) | 53.31% ( 0.38) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.99) | 32.91% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( -1.12) | 69.48% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.85% |
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