SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Birmingham City |
56.04% ( -0.62) | 23.38% ( 0.1) | 20.59% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.24) | 48.54% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.22) | 70.66% ( -0.22) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.13) | 17.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( -0.24) | 47.37% ( 0.24) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( 0.69) | 37.91% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( 0.66) | 74.68% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.59% |
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