Aside from Rotherham's goal glut against Reading, they have been equally as poor as Birmingham in the final third. With that in mind, we are going to predict a dour stalemate at the New York Stadium, a result which both teams would accept given their objectives for the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
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