SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Queens Park Rangers | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Birmingham City | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Hull City | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Watford | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Millwall | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
24.89% ( -0.01) | 25.97% ( 0) | 49.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% ( -0.01) | 54.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( -0.01) | 75.9% ( 0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.02) | 37.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.02) | 73.96% ( 0.02) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0) | 22.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.34% ( 0.01) | 55.66% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.89% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.63% 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.13% |
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