Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
56.71%	25.33%	17.97%

Both teams to score 41.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02%

58.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55%

79.45%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15%

20.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45%

53.55%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05%

46.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55%

82.45%

Score Analysis

Watford 56.71%

Birmingham City 17.97%

Draw 25.32%

Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 15.35% 2-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.75% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.71%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.97%