Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
29.02%	28.21%	42.77%

Both teams to score 45.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68%

60.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52%

80.48%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13%

36.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34%

73.66%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 29.02%

Watford 42.76%

Draw 28.2%

Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.02%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 13.13% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-3 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.76%