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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
WB

Birmingham
3 - 1
West Brom

Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.93% (1.676 1.68) 27.66% (0.554 0.55) 40.41% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-1.553 -1.55)57.46% (1.563 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-1.248 -1.25)78.26% (1.255 1.26)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (0.398 0.4)33.17% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.434 0.43)69.78% (-0.428 -0.43)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-1.92 -1.92)27.86% (1.928 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-2.524 -2.52)63.47% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.92%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.41%
    Draw 27.65%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.687 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.439 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 QPR
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-4 West Brom
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship


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