Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.