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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
BL

West Brom
2 - 3
Birmingham

Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Townsend (42'), Gardner-Hickman (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
(90+5'), Sanderson (90+6')

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Birmingham City

All things considered, it would come as a surprise if there were many goals in this contest. Birmingham are capable of prevailing by the narrowest of margins, but we are backing the Baggies to edge this contest by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
64.48% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 20.97% (-0.026 -0.03) 14.55% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.126 0.13)48.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.117 0.12)70.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.049000000000007 0.05)14.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.092000000000006 0.09)41.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (0.088999999999999 0.09)44.98% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (0.071999999999999 0.07)80.91% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 64.47%
    Birmingham City 14.55%
    Draw 20.97%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.97%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Burnley
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 West Brom
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Brom 5-2 Hull City
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Norwich
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Championship


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