SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Reading |
60.91% ( -0.98) | 22.64% ( 0.74) | 16.45% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( -2.55) | 51.45% ( 2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -2.27) | 73.26% ( 2.26) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -1.2) | 16.47% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( -2.2) | 46.18% ( 2.2) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.6% ( -1.22) | 44.4% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.55% ( -1.01) | 80.45% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.45% |
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