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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
RL

Cardiff
1 - 0
Reading

Sawyers (90+1')
McGuinness (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dann (27'), N'Diaye (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Reading

There have generally been a lack of goals at the Cardiff City Stadium this season, and we expect that to continue here. Nevertheless, now that the Bluebirds have finally ended their losing streak, the home side could make it two wins in three days, prevailing with a clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawReading
50.42% (0.826 0.83) 26.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.08% (-0.781 -0.78)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.449 -0.45)57.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.357 -0.36)78.61% (0.35499999999999 0.35)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.17700000000001 0.18)23.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.262 0.26)56.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1 -1)40.73% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.911 -0.91)77.31% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.42%
    Reading 23.08%
    Draw 26.49%
Cardiff CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Reading
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Reading
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 4-0 Reading
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 QPR
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship


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