SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
50.42% ( 0.83) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( -0.45) | 57.89% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( -0.36) | 78.61% ( 0.35) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.18) | 23.07% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( 0.26) | 56.91% ( -0.26) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -1) | 40.73% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.91) | 77.31% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% |
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