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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
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ML

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall


Ince (0'), Ince (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Millwall

News of Reading's imminent six-point deduction has appeared to have distracted the playing staff, and the visit of a strong Millwall side is not an occasion to have the focus elsewhere. The Lions put in a valiant effort despite defeat against Norwich last Saturday, and they should be able to return to winning ways in Berkshire as the playoff race intensifies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
25.12% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 48.63% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.148 -0.15)55.45% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.121 -0.12)76.64% (0.119 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.213 -0.21)37.47% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.21 -0.21)74.25% (0.208 0.21)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.12%
    Millwall 48.63%
    Draw 26.25%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Reading
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Millwall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship


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