SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
49.04% ( -0.27) | 25.97% ( 0.11) | 24.99% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( -0.32) | 54.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.14% ( -0.27) | 75.85% ( 0.27) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.25) | 22.25% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -0.38) | 55.69% ( 0.38) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.04) | 37.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.04) | 73.84% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.99% |
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