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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
RL

Middlesbrough
5 - 0
Reading

Akpom (24' pen., 48'), Ramsey (45+1', 51'), Forss (76' pen.)
Akpom (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ince (26'), Holmes (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Reading

Middlesbrough suffered a major blow to their top-two dreams at West Brom last weekend, but that loss such not detract from the marvellous job Carrick has done since taking over from Chris Wilder. Reading head to the Riverside with a potential six-point deduction hanging over them, and the ongoing investigation by the EFL could prove to be a distraction for everyone associated with the Berkshire club this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
70.05% (-0.51799999999999 -0.52) 18.61% (0.293 0.29) 11.34% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.684 -0.68)45.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.657 -0.66)67.72% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.336 -0.34)11.75% (0.335 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.08% (-0.72 -0.72)36.92% (0.719 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 70.03%
    Reading 11.34%
    Draw 18.61%
MiddlesbroughDrawReading
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.61%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.2% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Reading
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Reading
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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