Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.