Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.