Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
41.68%	27.69%	30.62%

Both teams to score 47.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04%

57.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.34%

78.65%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6%

27.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13%

62.87%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62%

34.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91%

71.09%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 41.68%

Stoke City 30.62%

Draw 27.69%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.62%