Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
