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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
RL

Watford
2 - 0
Reading

Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rinomhota (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawReading
54.18%25.67%20.15%
Both teams to score 44.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3%57.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54%78.45%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65%54.35%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35%43.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.17%79.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 54.17%
    Reading 20.15%
    Draw 25.66%
WatfordDrawReading
1-0 @ 14.39%
2-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.15%

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