Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Watford
18.55%	24.16%	57.29%

Both teams to score 45.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79%

54.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39%

75.6%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57%

43.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35%

79.65%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23%

18.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83%

50.17%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 18.55%

Watford 57.27%

Draw 24.16%

Luton Town	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 6.8% 2-1 @ 4.74% 2-0 @ 2.84% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.55%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 13.63% 0-2 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-4 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.27%