Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Barnsley
28.11%	27.06%	44.84%

Both teams to score 48.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.37%

56.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.4%

77.6%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 28.11%

Barnsley 44.83%

Draw 27.05%

Bristol City	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.11%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.83%