Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
