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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
PN

Millwall
2 - 0
Preston

Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whiteman (51'), Onomah (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Preston North End

With these two teams in contrasting form, many will back Preston to edge the contest in East London. Nevertheless, Millwall's recent two defeats have only come by narrow margins, and we feel that the Lions will do enough to earn a draw in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
46.6% (-0.448 -0.45) 28.03% (0.165 0.16) 25.36% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.369 -0.37)61.46% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.277 -0.28)81.34% (0.277 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-0.393 -0.39)26.47% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.524 -0.52)61.65% (0.523 0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)77.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.59%
    Preston North End 25.36%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Preston
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship


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