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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
HL

Burnley
2 - 0
Hull City

Humphreys (3'), Flemming (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jones (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-0 Hull City

Burnley using their strong defence as the foundation of their promotion push, and we think that they will produce another resolute display to negate Hull's attacking threat, while we also believe they will do enough at the opposite end of the pitch to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawHull City
53% (-0.319 -0.32) 25.24% (0.113 0.11) 21.75% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (-0.213 -0.21)54.57% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (-0.176 -0.18)75.91% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.214 -0.21)20.59% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.342 -0.34)53.13% (0.344 0.34)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.090999999999994 0.09)40.15% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.084 0.08)76.79% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 53%
    Hull City 21.75%
    Draw 25.24%
BurnleyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 53%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Leeds
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 Burnley
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Hull City
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 QPR
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Doncaster (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, January 12 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hull City 3-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship


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