With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Hull City
41.63% ( 0.01)	25.5% ( 0)	32.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46%

48.53% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

-0)

70.66% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

23.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

57.04% (

-0)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0)

28.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0)

63.7% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 41.63%

Hull City 32.87%

Draw 25.49%

Derby County	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.87%