SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Hull City |
29.49% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( 0.02) | 44.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( -0.08) | 50.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.07) | 72.52% ( 0.06) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -0.02) | 31.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -0.02) | 67.75% ( 0.02) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.06) | 22.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.08) | 56.1% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.82% |
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