SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
37.81% ( -0.45) | 25.35% ( 0.19) | 36.84% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.84) | 47.25% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0.78) | 69.48% ( 0.79) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.62) | 24.55% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( -0.88) | 59.03% ( 0.89) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -0.24) | 25.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( -0.33) | 59.77% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.84% |
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