Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
