Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
