Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
