SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
48.29% ( 0) | 24.46% ( -0.02) | 27.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.06) | 46.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.06) | 69.01% ( -0.06) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( 0.03) | 19.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( 0.05) | 51.25% ( -0.05) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( 0.04) | 31.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( 0.05) | 67.36% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.25% |
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