Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
35.35% ( 0.41) | 26.87% ( 0.27) | 37.77% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.11% ( -1.08) | 53.88% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.66% ( -0.91) | 75.34% ( 0.91) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% ( -0.27) | 29.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.97% ( -0.34) | 65.03% ( 0.34) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0.89) | 27.66% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( -1.16) | 63.21% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.77% |
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