Having lost in midweek, we do not expect the most attack-minded of performances from Cardiff. At a time when Sunderland have not always found goals easy to come by, one strike may be enough for the Black Cats to emerge victorious at the Stadium of Light.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.04) 
