Despite the difference in league positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture with Cardiff having seemingly turned a corner under Lamouchi. Nevertheless, so have Norwich under Wagner, and we feel that the Canaries will edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
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