SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
44.27% ( 0.11) | 25.87% ( 0.02) | 29.86% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( -0.12) | 51.2% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.1) | 73.04% ( 0.1) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0) | 23.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 0) | 56.86% ( -0) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.15) | 31.42% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.17) | 67.8% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.86% |
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