Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
43.62% ( 3.89) | 26.82% ( -0) | 29.56% ( -3.88) |
Both teams to score 49.7% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.89% ( -1.16) | 55.1% ( 1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.64% ( -0.96) | 76.35% ( 0.96) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 1.51) | 25.07% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 2.04) | 59.76% ( -2.05) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( -3.32) | 33.67% ( 3.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( -3.78) | 70.32% ( 3.78) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 1) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.6) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: