It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as it is such a unique season due to the winter break. There is not an awful lot to separate the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.
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