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BC
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
SL

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-3 Swansea City

Bristol City are not shy in front of goal but it is a leaky defence at the other end that has hampered their start to this Championship campaign. Swansea are high on confidence after six wins in the last seven and will be eyeing up a fragile Robins' defence when they visit Ashton Gate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
39.96% (-0.753 -0.75) 25.5% (0.194 0.19) 34.54% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.747 -0.75)48.17% (0.75 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-0.687 -0.69)70.33% (0.69 0.69)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.71000000000001 -0.71)23.84% (0.713 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-1.03 -1.03)58.02% (1.032 1.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.96%
    Swansea City 34.54%
    Draw 25.49%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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