Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
39.96% ( -0.75) | 25.5% ( 0.19) | 34.54% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.82% ( -0.75) | 48.17% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( -0.69) | 70.33% ( 0.69) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( -0.71) | 23.84% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( -1.03) | 58.02% ( 1.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.02) | 62.15% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.54% |
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