Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
