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DL
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
B

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')

We said: Derby County 1-0 Blackpool

Both sides will view this game as the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways, but we think that it will be Derby who will narrowly come out on top in a gritty affair. With the two clubs among the lowest scorers in the Championship, the match may be short of entertainment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
29.3%26.71%43.99%
Both teams to score 49.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22%54.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91%76.09%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31%33.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.65%70.35%
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7%59.3%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 29.3%
    Blackpool 43.99%
    Draw 26.7%
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.3%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.99%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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