Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
37.35%	29.76%	32.88%

Both teams to score 42.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.53%

64.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.49%

83.51%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81%

33.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.79%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78%

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99%

73%

Score Analysis

Derby County 37.35%

Nottingham Forest 32.88%

Draw 29.75%

Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.75%	0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.88%