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RL
Championship | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
DL

Rotherham
3 - 0
Derby

Ihiekwe (76'), Smith (81'), Giles (88')
Wiles (58'), Crooks (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shinnie (59'), Bird (65'), Sibley (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawDerby County
34.29%28.35%37.36%
Both teams to score 46.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41%59.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07%79.92%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8%69.2%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31%30.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.93%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 34.28%
    Derby County 37.35%
    Draw 28.34%
Rotherham UnitedDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 11.83%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.35%

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