Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.