Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Derby County
23.13%	27.46%	49.41%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.94%

61.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.96%

81.04%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.51%

42.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.14%

78.86%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45%

59.55%

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 23.13%

Derby County 49.41%

Draw 27.45%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.11% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.09% Total : 23.13%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 14.71% 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.15% Total : 49.41%