Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
38.65%	27.56%	33.79%

Both teams to score 48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24%

56.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3%

77.7%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47%

28.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69%

64.32%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46%

31.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07%

67.94%

Score Analysis

Derby County 38.64%

Queens Park Rangers 33.79%

Draw 27.56%

Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.64%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.79%