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DL
Championship | Gameweek 5
Oct 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
WL

Derby
0 - 1
Watford


Evans (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (76')
Wilmot (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 35.95%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWatford
35.09%28.96%35.95%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.31%61.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.49%81.51%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79%33.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18%69.82%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81%69.2%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.09%
    Watford 35.94%
    Draw 28.95%
Derby CountyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.95%
0-1 @ 12.13%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.94%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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