Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
