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NL
Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
DL

Norwich
0 - 1
Derby


Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
35.25%26.52%38.22%
Both teams to score 52.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56%52.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88%74.12%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53%28.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77%64.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.99%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.26%
    Derby County 38.22%
    Draw 26.52%
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.22%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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