Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
